However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Editorial warns Australia may suffer further economic pain. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. There ya go. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . China is a completely different because it has a pax-Sino in mind not unlike the pax-Britannica of the 1800s and it has embarked upon this in earnest from the mid-1990s and it has a centurys long plan. For Australia the decisions that will have to be made, in order to totally avoid an outbreak of war one in which Australia for all intent and purposes will inevitably lose and one that would encourage a ground invasion by Chinese forces is where to place China as these regional machinations increase? This time has taken two decades and it is now in that place, or in simpler terms, China is now a major actor on the world stage and moreover, one that is prepared to back its position/s up with military force if need be. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. It is at this point that the historical element as well as the dangers for other actors particularly Australia in the A-P region and the invasion scenario to which Lambie alludes can be introduced. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. Another important contributing factor, which a possible adversary is likely to take into account, is the combined fighting potential of the ADF. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. [7] See Francis Fukuyama. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. Power Disparities and Paradoxical Conflict Outcomes. International Interactions, Philadelphia: Taylor and Francis, 1986,12, 315-342. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. ADM's Defence Industry Guide is published in print edition every 6 months. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. China is Australia's largest trading partner, making up 30 per . The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. The heretofore hidden fears that reside alongside the mercantile arena of profit and the food bowl debates within the Asia-Pacific (A-P) have evolved into the public arena. Another Century of War? China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. Taiwanese . Its TERRORISM people. Agree with all comments . Moreover, China has continued to exercise its perceived regional rights with relative impunity; and the PRC recently rejected a US proposal to decrease tensions over the disputed territories,[14] and these are further signs the days of absolute control for the US are over. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. Roger October 23, 2015 at 2:28 pm. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa A former Japanese military officer recently made waves after saying he believes China plans to invade and annex Taiwan by 2025 and Okinawa by 2045. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. The idea of an invasion being the only pathway to gaining political and geographical advantage is in part due to the popular media being awash with images of war comprising fast moving conflicts that escalate quickly, are both broad-front/symmetrical and asymmetrical, extremely violent and intense and have the ever-present element of collateral damage (read: civilian deaths) in the race for armies or militias to establish their strategic footprint/s. That sounds frightening!!! Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. Jacqui Lambie!! Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. A new survey released Tuesday by the Lowy Institute, a foreign policy research group, found only a slim majority of Australians supported military action in the event of a Chinese invasion of . Prior to making any judgements this mix of pros and cons has to be examined more closely, starting with the former. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. Gosh and golly. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. Nevertheless, Britain still gained what it needed and the British people benefited the middle-class continued. War is inevitable. Something went wrong, please try again later. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. Subscribe to ADM Premium. One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. In case of the PLA, the following needs to be factored in. Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. Think on this I heard on ABC Radio. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . [9] Ezra Vogel. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. A sad state of affairs. I wont go into the importance of our location to those Interests here. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. Great article, and I had a nice chuckle at some of the sentiments of those who took the time to comment. I just wonder why the author thinks that Americas debt would be a protective factor in preventing a conflict with China. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. The largest ever Australian warship sunk in battle, HMAS . The importance of outposts and the enhanced capabilities they offer can be seen through Britain in the Falkland Islands/Islas Malvinas, the US in Guam, Diego Garcia and the United Arab Emirates. @ stephengb: I cannot hep wondering why discussions about taxation. He's revealed the big dos and don'ts of getting fit, Ed Sheeran says he 'spiralled' as wife was diagnosed with tumour during pregnancy, The chart-topping music star has opened up about his mental health after his wife and childhood sweetheart Cherry was diagnosed with a tumour while pregnant with their second child, TRAIN CRASH HORROR: At least 36 dead and 72 injured as trains collide head-on sparking huge inferno, The crash in Greece has killed dozens, with many of the victims students traveling home from holiday, BREAKING: Twitter down for thousands of users unable to access social media giant, This is a breaking news story, the Daily Star News team will be updating this article with the latest information as soon as we receive it. A war . Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. If there is a war with China, it will most likely be over its efforts to reunite Taiwan with the mainland. I must admit I skimmed this piece. Geography still plays a very important part in war. This raises again the question of alliance obligation, and the subsequent need by Washington to make it very clear to China that an attack on Australia will trigger an allied response. Australia cut. Selling more and more of our assets (mineral companies and FREEHOLD farming land) is moving the country to a checkmate position with China controling its assets. At any rate Australia is in trouble. (Defence Department: Leading Seaman Daniel Goodman) 'War would impoverish us all' There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. China has over 1 Billion people !!! The World Economy. The Transformation of China. The Agenda. China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. What am I missing? AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. Based on history, a war is in the making. Dr Strobe Driver reports. great commentary, thankyou for your input one and all. Islamic terrorism to be exact!!! [12] This illustrates the US is keen to keep one step ahead of China in the region. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. This was followed by a further dictum from his colleague Senator Jacqui Lambie speaking about the potential of a Chinese invasion and whats more, she has refused to withdraw her comment. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. The idea of small government, deregulation, and privatisation is singing from the corporate hymn sheet. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. First instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties, US and we seem to be factored.. 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