10 Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0) at No. Point total: 78.5. Pick: Fresno State wins 41-14 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. . The home team has won the last four meetings, and three of those games have been decided by seven points or less. Another SEC game on Saturday night features No. Plenty of top 25 teams are in action with closely lined spreads, we made sure to give you the ins and outs to finding a profitable weekend. The Wolverines have won three home meetings against the Scarlet Knights by an average of 35.3 points per game. The Longhorns have dominated this in-state rivalry over the years, winning four straight and 11 of their last 13 against the Red Raiders. See Premium Picks for the lock. No. You can like The Game Haus on . So what college football picks can you make with confidence? In the end, though, it's going to be too much Caleb Williams, too much Jordan Addison and too much of a rushing attack that has been exponentially better than it was over the previous four seasons. The Ducks have won the last two meetings by 14 points and found their groove with Bo Nix in the victory against BYU in Week 3. Don't let the 41-20 final score fool you. It's the Spartans secondary that leaves an awful lot to be desired, and Minnesota has not been anything close to prolific through the air dating back to the start of 2020. There might be value in the Sooners here. The Gators have dominated the series, but the Volunteers are heavy favorites this time. Our predictions for each Week 4 game are broken into three sections: Top 25 teams, best unranked clashes and the rest of the slate. 23 Texas A&M (Arlington, TX). Get a $50 Bonus Bet + up to $1K Back in Bonus Bets! The Cardinal have won seven of the last eight meetings, but the run defense is shaky. Oregon State (45.7 ppg.) It's the third straight 30-plus point underdog spread for the Rebels, and they are 1-1 ATS the last two weeks. Each other section is presented in chronological order of kickoff time. Considering opposing quarterbacks have rushed a combined 18 times for negative-22 yards against this Volunteers defense, I like their chances of keeping Richardson bottled up. The past three Baylor-Iowa State games were decided by one possession, twice with a critical scoring play in the final 30 seconds of the fourth quarter. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. Mississippi enters this weekend's matchup with Tulsa 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread, coming off an impressive 42-0 shutout of Georgia Tech as 17-point favorites last week. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. The play clock was ticking down and Riley leaned over to the official and signaled for a timeout with a second left on the play clock. Oklahoma's offense looks about as good as it did under Lincoln Riley and under Bob Stoops before him, averaging north of 500 total yards per game with 17 touchdowns against just one turnover. The Sun Devils defense was helpless against both Oklahoma State and Eastern Michigan, and Utah's offense is probably better than both of those. The Cougars are coming off a brutal loss at Oregon. The Huskies are coming off a 59-0 loss at Michigan, but this spread still feels a little too high. Jefferson is developing into a dual-threat star. But for now, here are our first early Week 4 college football odds, picks, and predictions. Now, he has turned his attention to the Week 4college football odds from Caesars and is sharing his top three best bets over at SportsLine. With that in mind, a look at this week's picks: Fresno State quarterback Jake Haener led an upset against UCLA last week, and he averages 366 passing yards per game. Visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning and cover the spread - all from a proven computer model that has brought in almost $3,600 in profits over the last six seasons - and find out. (AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman), Texas' Bijan Robinson (Daniel Dunn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images), Washington's Michael Penix Jr. (Jacob Snow/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images), Tennessee's Hendon Hooker (Kevin Langley/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images), Texas A&M's Devon Achane (Jack Gorman/Getty Images), Ohio State QB C.J. Pick: Iowa wins 35-10 and COVERS the spread. 22 Texas (-7) goes on the road and covers against Texas Tech in a 3:30 p.m. He debuted with SportsLine in 2017 and has delivered in a big way on his college football picks. 21 Wake Forest in Week 4. Pick: Coastal Carolina wins 52-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. (Certainly better than EMU's.). Say this much for Stanford: The run game is back. The Buckeyes make a definitive statement in prime-time this time. The Bears are 1-6 S/U as a road underdog, but we'll go against the trend and give the Bears a second chance. Davis Brin had 18 touchdowns and 16 interceptions during the 2021 regular season, but he has been surgical in the early going, feeding sixth-year wide receiver Keylon Stokes an all-you-can-eat buffet of passes. Middle Tennessee State has picked up two victories the last two weeks, but they are the same team that lost 44-7 to James Madison in the opener. Pick: Clemson wins 28-16 and COVERS the spread. 20 Florida Gators (2-1) at No. Fresno State also eclipsed 400 total yards against USC, despite losing all-MWC QB Jake Haener to a devastating lower-leg injury early in the third quarter. We will have 6 more Premium Picks against the spread this week! ET SEC on CBS kickoff at Neyland Stadium. This Oklahoma team with Brent Venables is different. Vanderbilt should get into the scoring column this time around, as the offense has been (at least by Vandy standards) quite respectable thus far, averaging 6.7 yards per play and 42.0 points per game. No. It's tempting to take the Chippewas, who have scored 36.3 points per game through three weeks. Pick: Auburn wins 41-13 and COVERS the spread. Oregon got absolutely boat-raced by Georgia in Week 1, but, oh well, no one cares and the Ducks are back up to No. Pick: Kentucky wins 35-10 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model, See which other teams the model likes here, You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $3,300 in profit over the past six-plus seasons, Alabama hires former Texas, UL coach Strong as analyst, Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, 23 things to watch during 2023 spring football, Lincoln Riley opens up on Year 2 expectations, Big Ten, CFP committee adds Hall of Fame coach for 2023, Bob Diaco reunites with Brian Kelly at LSU. The Terps haven't seen a complete team like this yet. Time for the Cougar faithful to drink a few hundred gallons of Fireball and cheer their boys to what might be the biggest upset of Week 4. 13 Texas A&M vs. No. Clemson has gone unbeaten through its first eight games this season and is coming off its bye week. Washington State, which is 5-1 against the spread in its past six home games, could cause chaos for an Oregon offense led by inconsistent QB Bo Nix. See what else Sallee likes at SportsLine. 10 Arkansas and No. LINE Army -19.5. Pick: Georgia wins 42-9 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Even if Smith and Achane don't get quite that carried away, they should do enough for a stingy A&M defense (two touchdowns allowed thus far this season) to get the job done. Worth noting: Texas has averaged 55.8 points during its four-game winning streak in this Big 12 rivalry. 7 Oklahoma (Week 2), 41-10 loss to No. The 2022 College Football Week 4 will feature Wisconsin Vs Ohio St and Florida Vs Tennessee. Not all the games are up right now, but they will be available in the next day or two. They have a showdown with No. We'll need to see more from the Nittany Lions (especially their defense) before we start taking them seriously as a threat to topple Michigan (Oct. 15) or Ohio State (Oct. 29). Should be similar to 2019, when Wisconsin held opponents not named Ohio State to 13.75 points per game but gave up 38 in the regular season and 34 in the B1G championship against the Buckeyes. Pick: Iowa State wins 28-27 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Fortunately for the ranked team in this matchup, the NIU secondary is abysmal, having allowed 11 passing touchdowns through its first three games against Eastern Illinois, Tulsa and Vanderbilt. The Matchup generator exposes potential mismatches showing strong . In its first road game of the season, Texas could be in some trouble. BENDER: Notre Dame won't make a bowl and more Week 3 overreactions. Clemson has gotten out to a couple of painfully slow starts this season. Sep 23, 2022. 6 Texas A&M (2021), 30-7 loss to No. Prediction: North Carolina 34, Notre Dame 27, Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) at Michigan State Spartans (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. at Especially since I'm picking four underdogs to win straight up. Pick: Alabama wins 49-7 and COVERS the spread. The Huskers are 9-2 all time against the Spartans, but we're trusting the better team. Two B1G teams coming off disappointing losses in which they struggled to move the ball. We will have 6 Premium Picks against the spread this week! Can Texas A&M take advantage of that secondary, though? The Panthers have suffered blowout losses to Army and North Carolina, and the Tigers should be able to get what they want on offense. He missed the last two games with an injury, but he had a pair of touchdowns in the opener after racking up 101 receptions for 1,335 yards in 2021. Utah, however, has looked like a different team since the Week 1 loss to Florida. "The Volunteer defense is much better than advertised, and is averaging 7.33 tackles for loss per game," Sallee told SportsLine. Sallee is a true insider -- a CBS Sports analyst, SiriusXM host, Heisman voter and consistently one of the top CBS Sports experts picking games against the spread -- and his best bets have helped bring in huge returns. Washington and Oregon was a terrific offensive thriller - Washington 37-34 (71). The Bulldogs' lone win surpassing this spread was against Oregon. Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News. 12 North Carolina State Wolfpack (3-0) vs. Connecticut Huskies (1-3) [7:30 p.m.]. That seems about right considering New Mexico has scored 14 points or fewer in six of its nine games. Can we make that a word after the past two weeks in which he has gone 24-of-53 (45.3 percent) for 255 yards, no touchdowns and four picks to go along with 13 carries for 28 yards and no scores? Throw in how good Bijan Robinson looked en route to three touchdowns and more than 200 total yards from scrimmage last week and Vegas' over/under of 60 sure feels like a misprint here. Top Week 4 college football expert predictions One of Sallee's top college football picks for Week 4: He's backing the Under 62.5 in No. Sep 10, 2022; Clemson, South Carolina, USA; Clemson Tigers . Related: Expert Predictions for Every College Football Game in Week 4 Note: All times are ET and all games are on Saturday, Sept. 25. We finished 4-6 on our picks against the spread but still . Vanderbilt (+38.5) over GEORGIA. Both teams are 3-0 S/U and 3-0 ATS to start the season. The average Notre Dame game this season has featured just 39.7 total points. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. (Unless you're a fan of hard-nosed defense and low-scoring affairs, of course. He has completed 88.2 percent of his minimal pass attempts, and he should make a spirited push toward the top three of the Heisman conversation in this game against a secondary that has allowed 661 passing yards and six touchdowns over the past two games against Charlotte and SMU. What, you didn't dig the way Nevada had to hang on for dear life in Week 0 against a New Mexico State team that just got obliterated by Minnesota? 4 Michigan (-17). Florida currently sits at 4-4 overall and 1-4 against the SEC, but the Gators aren't nearly as low on . Unreliable, turnover-prone DJ Uiagalelei could be in for a long day against a Wake defense averaging two interceptions per game. CMU's defense allowed over 500 yards and a combined 96 points in its losses to Oklahoma State (understandable) and South Alabama (less understandable). 2 Alabama to No. The Aggies were upset by Appalachian State two weeks ago, but they bounced back with a 17-9 win over then-No. What are the best bets for Week 4 of college football? The Cyclones will make it tough, but we'll stick with the ranked team. In last week's victory against UTSA, Robinson recorded 20 carries for 183 yards and three touchdowns. It's the Jack Coan revenge game. The team highlighted in green is the College Football Game Picker team predicted to cover the spread. Auburn lost in Happy Valley, but Georgia State offers a chance for a get-well game. Best bets: Michigan, Arkansas, Kansas StateThis season: 16-27-2 2014-21 record: 1,030-970-19, 2023 NYP Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved, College Football Playoff predictions: Michigan vs. LSU, Georgia vs. Ohio State, College football bowl game predictions: Picks against the spread for every game, College football picks and predictions Friday: Bahamas Bowl, Cure Bowl, College football Saturday predictions: TCU vs. Kansas State, plus more picks, College football predictions: USC vs. Utah, plus another Friday pick, College Football National Championship winner odds. 2 Alabama vs. Vanderbilt, as the programs will meet for the first time since the Crimson Tide recorded a 59-0 win in 2017. The 11th-ranked Volunteers have received a lot of hype, but what have they done to deserve double-digit respect? One week removed from allowing five consecutive touchdown drives of 75 or more yards in a 42-21 loss to Delaware, Rhode Island faces an even stiffer test against a ranked FBS opponent. The Cougars are allowing fewer than 13 points per game, have forced seven turnovers this season and have 14 sacks, which is tied for second nationally. As was the case five years ago, though, Alabama will score at will. The Huskies are 2-2 ATS. Could be another game in which a Longhorns pick-six opens the flood gates. And if you're not dripping with anticipation for 3-0 Duke at 3-0 Kansas, I don't know what to tell you. "That doesn't bode well for Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson, who hasn't thrown a touchdown pass and is a massive liability to Billy Napier's offense." 20 Florida travels to No. The rushing attack is dominant, the quarterback is certainly good enough to capitalize when the opposing defense over-commits to slowing down the run and the defense gets sacks in bunches. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. In what was supposed to be an opportunity to legitimately enter the College Football Playoff conversation, the Cougars could not get a stop to save their lives, falling behind 38-7 by midway through the third quarter and ultimately losing 41-20. The Sooners have re-asserted themselves as the team to beat in the Big 12, but Kansas State has played them tough under Chris Klieman. Iowa's methodical offense can make for some nail-biting covers, but that defense will cause problems for the Rams, who complete just 55.7 percent of their passes as a team. New users only, 21 or older. Can the Golden Flashes sneak in a cover here? Northern Illinois will be a challenge, but veteran quarterback Rocky Lombardi is questionable after suffering a leg injury against Vanderbilt. LINES Nevada -1 ATS PICK Nevada. Head here to see every pick. Fourteen chances to win every week Pick 4 numbers are drawn twice a day, seven days a week. Wake Forests Sam Hartman threw for 312 yards in the meeting last year and should have even more success against a secondary that ranks among the nations bottom half despite its soft early schedule. Prediction: Washington State 27, Oregon 24, No. 16 Arkansas and No. 250/167 = 59.95% = $75,500 profit / average American makes $53,000 250 times $950 the average win =$237,500- minus $167,000 in losses is $75,000 in profit Compounding monetary eff Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. In this coin flip of a game, the team that controls the tempo figures to get the W. To that end, the status of UNC WR Josh Downs is monumental. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) vs. No. Look for a big game from Bo Nix. Except I've got Ohio State scoring even more than that this time around. Week 5 includes some of the best college football games of the season to date. Pick: Tennessee wins 35-28 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Pick: Florida wins 38-20 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Maryland at No. The Gators were held to just 16 points in a loss to Kentucky at home, and they barely escaped with a win against South Florida last week. New starter Max Johnson can lead Texas A&M to back-to-back victories against ranked teams, but Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson was the star of this matchup last season. 11 Tennessee Volunteers hosting Anthony Richardson and the No. See full Week 4 college football picks, odds, predictions here, Central Michigan at Penn State (-28, 63.5), Northern Illinois at Kentucky (-26.5, 53). No. The Cougars just beat three straight Pac-12 opponents and they keep that focus rolling with another blowout. Week 4 of the 2022 college football season features several high-profile and interesting matchups to bet against the spread, including Florida-Tennessee, Baylor-Iowa State, Kansas State-Oklahoma and Clemson-Wake Forest. They crushed two mid-majors and beat a shorthanded Pittsburgh squad without its quarterback, following a 7-6 season in which they went 1-4 against ranked opponents. No. 4 Clemson Tigers will try to maintain their position in the College Football Playoff race when they face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday night. 4 Georgia, the SEC has an impressive slate. - College Football 10 Team Parlay Picks. 25 Miami Hurricanes (2-1) vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. No. Clemson stock is down, especially after a goal-line stand was needed to finish off Georgia Tech. Oregon can exploit that on both sides, but that half-point hook should be enough for the Wildcats to cover. The Bears missed out on a chance to win a tough road game two weeks ago at BYU. 15 in the AP poll after a home win over BYU. (Our projection was Huskies 31-27.). Notre Dame got off to a slow start, but it has picked up wins against UNLV and Syracuse in its last two games. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. All Rights Reserved. You can find Donnavan Smoots full betting recordhere. Haynes King threw for just 97 yards in the Week 2 loss to Appalachian State. Pick: Oregon wins 34-26 and COVERS the spread. College football picks, predictions against the spread for every Week 4 top 25 game, Alabama's close call, FSU's disastrous start and more takeaways from Week 3. Make sure to check out our college football page for more content like college football week 4 picks against the spread! No. 11 Tennessee vs. No. Pitt QB Kedon Slovis (undisclosed upper body injury) did not play in last week's 34-13 win at Western Michigan, though he was cleared to do so. Jim Harbaugh has the best O-line in the country and I expect the Wolverines will wear down the Horned Frogs and pull away in the second half - much like they did against Ohio State. Even though these teams both play in the SEC, this will be just the third meeting between Alabama and Vanderbilt in the past 15 years. 17 Baylor Bears (2-1) at Iowa State Cyclones (3-0) [4 p.m.]. If Noah Vedral can avoid costly turnovers, then Rutgers will make it interesting. The Utes take care of business behind a running game that averages 216.7 yards per game, and they close it out with a fourth-quarter turnover. Sean Clifford has himself a fun afternoon. I look forward to Nick Saban discussing rat poison. That never gets old. 7 USC (-5.5) goes on the road and covers against Oregon State in a 9:30 p.m. 5 Clemson (2017), 48-0 loss to No. It's on the Red Raiders to keep up with the Bijan Robinson-led offense. Those games are part of another fun slate of college football action. Miami bounces back from the Texas A&M loss with a crisp performance at home. The Trojans have forced 11 turnovers (while committing zero), but Stanford moved the ball pretty much at will against them, racking up 33 first downs. Texas got all it could handle last Saturday at home against UTSA, leading by just four points late in the third quarter before Jahdae Barron ran back a back-breaking pick-six to jump-start the 21-point victory. Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $3,300 in profit over the past six-plus seasons, and find out. USC takes the show on the road again with an offense that averages 50.7 points per game. Prediction: Appalachian State 31, James Madison 23. However, Texas Tech didn't exactly look good in its 27-14 loss to NC State and has been careless with the ball to the tune of seven interceptions through its first three games. USC's offensive firepower is one of the main reasons that the Trojans are covering more than 70% of the time. Last week I had three terrible picks, two great picks and the other was Wake Forest. No. It's one thing to struggle against Florida, but averaging less than three yards per carry in last week's shutout of Youngstown State was a troubling takeaway from an otherwise convincing victory. 11 Tennessee vs. No. Four of the last five matchups in Stillwater have been decided by one score, and the Cowboys are 4-1 in those games. After dismantling Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a final score of 63-7, Oklahoma State gets the week off to prepare for a massive Week 5 showdown with No. However, Florida has dominated this SEC East rivalry over the years, winning 16 of their last 17 against the Volunteers. The Cardinal had a bye week, and the last five meetings between these rivals have been decided by 10 points or less. The Longhorns win their Big 12 opener in style. Pick: UTSA wins 34-27 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Both teams are ranked in the AP Top 20, and while Tennessee is both ranked higher and the home team, Florida has completely owned this SEC East rivalry as of late, winning five straight and 16 of the last 17 meetings dating back to 2005. Georgia has won the last three meetings in Nashville by an average of 24 points per game. Curiously enough, MTSU holds a 2-0 edge in this all-time series. Ole Miss entered this season having allowed at least 14 points in 25 consecutive games, but it has allowed just 13 total points during this 3-0 start. If you parlay them together, you could be looking at a return of around 6-1. If you want further details on this week's card, check out our college football home page with every game preview as well as The Early Reed from Tuesday, our college football betting show that is LIVE every Tuesday at 1 PM EST. TCU flexed its offensive muscle in a 62-14 win over the Iowa State Cyclones last week. : the run game is back, James Madison 23 make with confidence coming disappointing... Yards and three touchdowns the Terps have n't seen a complete team like yet... A week or less last two weeks ago at BYU, picks, two great picks and other... In those games are up right now, but that half-point hook should be for! Three of those games are part of another fun slate of college football much better than,! The Terps have n't seen a complete team like this yet but FAILS to COVER the spread: Fresno wins. Projection Model simulates every FBS college football odds, picks, and predictions long day against a Wake averaging... Team predicted to COVER the spread football action [ 3:30 p.m. ] during its winning! Road game of the main reasons that the Trojans are covering more than %... All time against the spread unbeaten through its first road game of the main reasons that the are... Picked up wins against UNLV and Syracuse in its last two weeks ago at BYU Red Raiders to keep with... In last week dripping with anticipation for 3-0 Duke at 3-0 Kansas, I n't... Georgia Tech 50.7 points per game that the Trojans are covering more 70. The ball picks and the Cowboys are 4-1 in those games have been decided by 10 points or fewer six... At will turnovers, then Rutgers will make it tough, but Volunteers... Numbers are drawn twice a day, seven days a week statement in prime-time time! 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